Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables organization outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel prices


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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel business for the third time this year due to falling rates and likewise reduced its expected sales volumes, sending the business's share cost down 10%.


Neste said a drop in the cost of regular diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has developed a supply excess of low-emissions biofuels, hammering earnings margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.


Neste in a statement slashed the anticipated typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well listed below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now likewise expects renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted since the start of the year, it added.


A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to offer in between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable items' sales prices have been negatively affected by a considerable reduction in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter," Neste stated in a statement.


"At the exact same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have not reduced and renewable product market cost premiums have remained weak," the company included.


Industry executives and experts have actually stated rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have announced they are stopping briefly growth strategies in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be anticipated, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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